CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 14-APR-18 @ 9 PM EDT

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

19th Annual 'Regular Season' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Brad Yehl
2nd Place: Don Sutherland
3rd Place: NWS ER WFOs
HM: Herb @MAWS

17th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Don Sutherland
2nd Place: Mitchel Volk
3rd Place: Brad Yehl

Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here

16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Sunday, January 1, 2012

Winter '11 / '12 - Meteorological Winter - Month One

One down.
Two to go...altho the Contest does run until the storms stop -- assuming they do get started.

As bad as it/s been for areal snow cover over the forecast area so far this winter...DEC-03 was worse with DEC-06 a close second.

December/s end-of-month snow cover between 2002 (upper left panel) and 2011 (lower right panel).  Images courtesy NOHRSC.

Disappointed snow crows blame the villainous duo of la Nina...which favors a storm track west of the Appalachian mountains...and the persistently positive state of the Arctic Oscillation from a paucity of hi-latitude blocking.

The above table -- sorted by descending 'percent of climo' -- shows December snowfall totals for the 'season-total' forecast contest stations.  Trace amounts are reported as 0.05.  Green (red) cells are the top (bottom) 25th percentile of values in each column.

Not a single station is even close to normal snow...altho the distribution is typical for a la Nina winter.  December's total 'normal' snowfall is 214".  The month's observed snowfall is 44", a deficit of 169" and a mere 21% of normal.

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