Friday, December 14, 2007

Contest # 2 - Call for Forecasts


Potent nor’easter poised to rake northern portions of the forecast area with a big contest snowfall late this weekend.

Deadline is earlier than usual b/c of the storm/s expected duration and the snowfall/s start time over upstream stations.

Deadline: 7:00 PM EST Saturday, 15 December 2007
Forecast verification begins: 7:00 PM EST Saturday, 15 December 2007

Forecasts must be entered via the Contest/s web site
Follow the link to 'Enter Storm Forecast.'

All forecasts will be posted by the Contest Administrator to the NE_Wx Google Group before 11 PM EST Saturday, 15 December 2007 and to the Contest web site by Sunday afternoon.

Contest subject to cancellation before the deadline…if forecast conditions warrant.

More information about the contest/s rules…forecast verification…and scoring can be found at the main web site.

Updates and announcement are posted on the Contest/s web log

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Forecasters need to register once before entering…even if they were registered last year.

Registration is simple… requiring only a username and password. If you provide a valid e-mail address…a copy of your forecast will be sent to you. Please ensure your browser is enabled to accept first-party cookies.

Each contest must have a minimum of seven (7) forecasters for the results to be included in the end-of-season standings.

Please enter 0.05 for trace amounts instead of a 'T.'

The NE.Wx Snowfall Forecast Contest (NEWxSFC) is a multi-month event that continues into late March or early April. In general…contests are held whenever a decent…synoptic-scale storm rears its head and threatens at least a half-dozen forecast stations with more than nuisance snowfall amounts. Forecasters are called to post their 'storm total' snowfall predictions…on deadline…for 27 NWS / FAA observing stations scattered about New England and the Mid-Atlantic regions. The Contest Administrator determines the deadlines for entries…verifies all forecasts…and publishes the final results to the Contest/s web site.

Please be sure to read the rules before entering the contest b/c your entry constitutes agreement to abide by them.

Contest Rules and additional information about error scoring…current monthly snowfall climatology from NCDC…daily CPC teleconnection indices…daily NESDIS N-Hemi snow cover…and NWS Daily Climate Bulletins (CDUS41)

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