CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 14-APR-18 @ 9 PM EDT

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

19th Annual 'Regular Season' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Brad Yehl
2nd Place: Don Sutherland
3rd Place: NWS ER WFOs
HM: Herb @MAWS

17th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Don Sutherland
2nd Place: Mitchel Volk
3rd Place: Brad Yehl
HM: TQ
Climo: 5th place

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Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
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18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here

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16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Sunday, December 16, 2007

Contest # 2 - Teleconnections

Contest Storm #2 got no help from the PNA index as it was negative during the period. Positive PNA is frequently cited as an important ingredient for decent snowfalls in the NE CONUS. A positive PNA index doesn/t hurt b/c it oft times favors cyclogenesis off the SE CONUS coast...but it/s not an absolutely necessary ingredient.

LOW heights dominating the NHEMI polar region resulted in an above normal AO index as the s/w trof lifted NE into the forecast area. The index declined slightly while the event unfolded on Sunday.

The negative NAO index...currently @ nadir...was a likely consequence of the decaying Rex block over Europe with the westerly extension its trof axis INVOF the Azores rather than significant ridging over Greenland. The vortex over NE CN / Davis Straits was also a contributing factor.

The teleconnection indices associated with Contest Storm #2 offer more evidence that +PNA and -AO / -NAO are not prerequisites...as all too commonly presumed...for decent snows across the NE.

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