CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 14-APR-18 @ 9 PM EDT

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

19th Annual 'Regular Season' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Brad Yehl
2nd Place: Don Sutherland
3rd Place: NWS ER WFOs
HM: Herb @MAWS

17th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Don Sutherland
2nd Place: Mitchel Volk
3rd Place: Brad Yehl
Climo: 5th place

Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here

16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Saturday, December 8, 2007

More Like '55

The images shown below depict time-section plots @ 5H between 20N° and 90°N using NCEP daily data (operational and re-analysis) of CLIMO...current...and CPC/s seven La Nina years for the period 15 November through 07 December.

Any similarities / analogs between current conditions and conditions from past La Nina years?




The winter of '55 / '56 featured a strong La Nina that began in early '54 and continued for almost two years until the very end of '56. PDO was were most winters back then. PDO these days has bi-polar tendencies. QBO flipped E in January -- it/s E now having peaked in OCT. AO ranks 36 out of 57 years. NAO ranks 52 out of 57 years.

'55 doesn/t show up on any analog for this winter...but there it is. Best qualitative match with mid-level geo-potential heights during the past three weeks.

Make your own...
Time Plots / Hovmoller diagrams

Image credit:
NOAA/ESRL Physical Sciences Division, Boulder Colorado

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