Saturday, December 15, 2007

Contest # 2 - The Forecasts

Maximum...average...median...and minimum station forecasts

Eighteen forecasters...three rookies.

Storm Total Precipitation (STP) forecasts range from a low of 46" (Superstorm) to a high of 145.8" (smadsen8486).

Average STP: 87.9"
Median STP: 80.6"

Forecasters expect this snow storm...like the first contest storm...to be a northern New England event...where the consensus heavy snow (6"+) axis extends from BGM - ALB - BTV - CAR - BGR - PWM - ORH - BGM.

All forecasts have been posted to the NEWxSFC web site. Follow the link from Storm Contest Forecasts 'Contest # 2'. Forecasts are ranked from minimum to maximum STP.

Distribution of normalized STP forecasts by forecaster

Click images to enlarge.

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