CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 14-APR-18 @ 9 PM EDT

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

19th Annual 'Regular Season' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Brad Yehl
2nd Place: Don Sutherland
3rd Place: NWS ER WFOs
HM: Herb @MAWS

17th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Don Sutherland
2nd Place: Mitchel Volk
3rd Place: Brad Yehl
HM: TQ
Climo: 5th place

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Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
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18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here

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16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Tuesday, December 18, 2007

Teslacles/s Deviant to Fudd/s Law

On the afternoon of December 16...a rapidly deepening secondary LOW had moved to a position over Lower NY Bay... having advanced NE hugging the shorelines of VA...MD...and NJ during the morning.

The center of circulation passed directly over NDBC/s moored buoy 44017 around sunset...evidenced by the becalmed wind observation just before the minimum pressure was recorded.

The green pressure trace below reveals a 24-HR pressure fall of 1.45" Hg (~49 mb) which...after Sanders... more than constitutes a 'meteorological bomb.'



Sanders 'bomb' definition related to explosive cyclogenesis where the 24-hour pressure fall was greater than or equal to 1 mb per hour @ 60°N.

The reason the surface wind had approached zero as it migrated past the buoy was b/c converging air...brought to the LOW/s center by the pressure gradient force...had no where else to go but up.

Here we have a real-time example of meteorology/s 'Continuity Equation'...which is all about 'Conservation of Mass'...also known in some quarters as 'Teslacale/s Deviant' corollary ("What goes in...must come out") to Fudd's Law (“If you push something hard enough, it will fall over”).

None of this purports to answer the age-old musical question..."How can you be in two places @ once...when you/re not a-n-y-where @ all?"

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