CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 14-APR-18 @ 9 PM EDT

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

19th Annual 'Regular Season' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Brad Yehl
2nd Place: Don Sutherland
3rd Place: NWS ER WFOs
HM: Herb @MAWS

17th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Don Sutherland
2nd Place: Mitchel Volk
3rd Place: Brad Yehl
HM: TQ
Climo: 5th place

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Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
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18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here

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16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Wednesday, December 19, 2007

Return of Hi-Latitude Easterlies

Note the ECMWF/s D+8 forecast for the return of deep tropospheric...hi-latitude easterlies over the pole suggesting a return of a negative AO index toward the end of DEC.

The time-height section also shows the 70mb mean zonal wind from the east over the Equator...indicating the negative QBO.

Negative QBO favors a negative AO...which is associated with a less stable...and slower polar vortex. These conditions present good opportunities for arctic outbreaks....storminess...and the potential for hi-latitude blocking.

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