Saturday, January 10, 2009

Interim Standings

After four snow storms...donsutherland1 moves into the lead...trailed by shanabe...who moved up from 5th and dmcguriman holding in third.

Under the ‘two-thirds’ rule…forecasters who have entered at least three forecasts are included in this interim summary.

Full interim forecaster statistics table and charts here.

Forecaster storm summary data here.

SUMSQ errors for each contest snow storm are normalized with a 'Z-score'...then averaged to compute the standings. Forecasters who have entered at least 2/3 of all snow storm contests are included in the standings.

If a forecaster has participated in more than two-thirds of all snow storm contests...then Z-scores from two-thirds of their best forecasts are used to calculate Interim and Final standings. Same idea as dropping the lowest quiz score before the final grade is computed.

Previous Interim summary here.

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