CONTEST STATUS - Last update: THU ... 20-APR-17 @ 9:40 PM EDT

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

19th Annual 'Regular Season'

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17th Annual 'Season-total'

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Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
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18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here
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16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Interim Standings

After five snow storms... donsutherland1 holds the lead... shanabe holds onto second...and Donald Rosenfeld lunges from sixth into third.

Under the ‘two-thirds’ rule…forecasters who have entered at least four forecasts are included in this interim summary.

Forecasters who will be eligible for Interim Standings ranking...if they enter a forecast for Snow Storm #6:

  • anthony
  • dmcuriman
  • emoran
  • Mitchel Volk
  • Newa
  • Raven
  • skiGirl
Full interim forecaster error statistics table and charts here.

Forecaster storm summary data here.

SUMSQ errors for each contest snow storm are normalized with a 'Z-score'...then averaged to compute the standings. Forecasters who have entered at least 2/3 of all snow storm contests are included in the standings.

If a forecaster has participated in more than two-thirds of all snow storm contests...then Z-scores from two-thirds of their best forecasts are used to calculate Interim and Final standings. Same idea as dropping the lowest quiz score before the final grade is computed.

Previous Interim summaries here and here.

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