CONTEST STATUS - Last update: FRI ... 14-JUL-17 @ 8:30 PM EDT

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
19th Annual 'Regular Season'
Season starts when the first flakes start a'flyin'

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17th Annual 'Season-total'
Entries accepted between 01-NOV-17 and 30-NOV-17
Verification period: 01-DEC-17 through 31-MAR-18

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Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
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18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here
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16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Snow Storm #5: Results

Senior forecaster emoran made the best synoptic-scale forecast for NEWxSFC/s fifth snow storm. His 23 station forecast verified with 68.8 SUMSQ error points (Z-Score = -1.352)...which was a 66% improvement over the average error of 205".

He hit the trifecta with lowest Total Absolute Error (29.9") and Average Absolute Error (1.3"). His 63% R-SQ score...a measure of how well a forecast captures the variability of the observed snowfall... ranked second.

This is emoran/s second...first place finish this season.

Emoran had the lowest station errors @ HYA PVD BDR ALB MDT DCA.

Congratulations emoran!


Emoran wins one FREE month of StormVista GOLD for his forecasting acumen.

2nd Place: anthony (75.1"; -1.290)
3rd Place: donsutherland1 (96"; -1.082)

Donald Rosenfeld...TrekkerCC...and skiGirl came within 5% of the 58.1" storm-total snowfall. skiGirl missed by a mere 0.65"!

Full forecast verification and results summary here.

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