Tuesday, January 20, 2009

Snow Storm #6: Results

Senior forecaster Donald Rosenfeld made the best synoptic-scale forecast for NEWxSFC/s sixth snow storm. His 24 station forecasts verified with 84 SUMSQ error points (Z-Score = -1.285)...which was a 54% improvement over the average error of 183".

He placed first in all other forecast skill categories...as well.
Total Absolute Error: 32.15" (27% better than average)
Average Absolute Error: 1.34" (31% better than average)
STP: 14.35" (54% better than average)
R-SQ: 78% (24% better than average)

Donald Rosenfeld/s forecast had the lowest station errors @ CAR ISP SBY ORF.

Congratulations Donald Rosenfeld!

Donald Rosenfeld wins one FREE month of StormVista GOLD for his forecasting acumen.

2nd Place: Raven (117.9"; -0.846)
3rd Place: Newa (122.2"; -0.791)
Honorable Mention: Mitchel Volk (123.4"; -0.774)

Full forecast verification and results summary here.

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