Friday, January 30, 2009

Snow Storm #7: Results

Senior forecaster Donald Rosenfeld makes it two in a row having issued the best synoptic-scale forecast for NEWxSFC/s seventh snow storm. His 25 station forecasts verified with 56.4 SUMSQ error points (Z-Score = -1.318)...which was a 47% improvement over the average error of 106".

He hit the trifecta...placing first in Total Absolute Error and Average Absolute Error.
Total Absolute Error: 28" (29% better than average)
Average Absolute Error: 1.12" (29% better than average)

Donald Rosenfeld/s forecast had the lowest station errors @ PWM BDR ALB BGM MDT BWI and perfect forecast @ BDR.

Congratulations Donald Rosenfeld!

Donald Rosenfeld wins one FREE month of StormVista GOLD for his forecasting acumen.

2nd Place: skiGirl (57.7"; -1.283)
3rd Place: shanabe (60.6"; -1.205)
Honorable Mention: Raven (68.2"; -1.003)

Full forecast verification and results summary here.

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