CONTEST STATUS - Last update: THU ... 20-APR-17 @ 9:40 PM EDT

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

19th Annual 'Regular Season'

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17th Annual 'Season-total'

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Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
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18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here
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16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Saturday, January 10, 2009

Snow Storm #4: Results

Senior forecaster 'shanabe' made the best synoptic-scale forecast for NEWxSFC/s fourth snow storm. His forecast verified with 36.7 'SUMSQ error' points (Z-Score = -1.201) which was a 60% improvement over the average of all forecasters 'SUMSQ errors' of 91.

He completed the trifecta with a tie for the lowest 'Total Absolute Error' (13.4") and 'Average Absolute Error' (1.03"). His 'storm-total precipitation (STP) forecast for 31" had an error of 1.6".

Shanabe had the lowest station errors @ PWM CON BDR ALB EWR DCA and made a perfect forecast @ BDL.

Congratulations shanabe!

Shanabe wins one FREE month of StormVista GOLD for his efforts.

2nd Place: donsutherland1 (40.9"; -1.107)
3rd Place: nynjpaweather (43.0"; -1.061)

Shanabe and donsutherland1 tied for 'Total Absolute Error' (13.4"); however...Shanabe had a lower 'Average Absolute Error' b/c he made 13 station forecasts and donsutherland1 made 11.

Full forecast verification and results summary here.

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