CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 10-SEP-16 @ 2222 LT

Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
18th Annual 'Regular Season'
!!! - Starts as soon as the flakes start flying - !!!

16th Annual 'Season-total'
Enter your forecast at the web site between 01-NOV and 30-NOV

Winter '15 / '16 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
17th Annual 'Regular Season'
No FINAL standings
Too few storms (2)

The two-thirds rule; forecasters are eligible for ranking in the final standings if they entered at least two-thirds of all storm contests. With only two contest-worthy storms this season ... those forecasters with one entry only would have been ineligible.

In the interest of fairness; three storms seems like the minimum.

15th Annual 'Season-total'
Verified forecasts here

Friday, December 8, 2006

Coastal Teaser #2 - One Step Closer

For your consideration - 00z 12/15 @ 156 HRS

Baggy...negative mid-lvl trof and a Miller 'B'. More than one system this fall has plunked a large luggie of cold air deep into the lower latitudes and coughed up a strong coastal cyclone. Interesting change depicted in the PAC NW where progged amplitude of LW is increasing and the coast-to-coast wave length is shortening. Will need 2m temps to get on-board.


Shillelagh said...

Meteo Q - I see the mid-level trough depicted on the 500 & 700 mb panels - but what makes this trough "baggy"? Is it the wek looking shape of the mid level height lines or the surface pressure lines?

TQ said...


In this case, bagginess is depicted as the large separation between geo-potential height lines over the upper mid-west / GL region.

Bagginess in the UA field(s) suggests the potential for a closed upr low to form...which in this case...b/c of its location... would produce rapid coastal cyclogenesis through the 'self development' process as described by Sutcliff.

Bagginess...when depicted in the sfc pressure field...suggests a likely location where a new LOW will form.